Updated: 19th April 2018

How Cerseis next move could seal her fate on Game of Thrones

Warning: This article contains spoilers for Game of Thrones season 7.

Apreview for Game of Thronesepisode 3 showsEuron Greyjoys triumphant return to Kings Landing, complete with his gift in tow, but it could set in motion events that’ll look disturbinglyfamiliar to some in Westeros.

Before the climactic battle at the end of Stormborn, which resulted in Euron andhis men taking Ellaria Sand, Tyene Sand, and (probably) Yara Greyjoy prisoner, Game of Thrones reminded the audience of a few important things they may have forgotten along the way.

  1. Ellaria is responsible for murdering Myrcella Baratheon, something Tyrion Lannister was still quite sour about.
  2. Although all of the Sand Snakes were bastard daughters of Oberyn Martell, Tyene is the only one who called Ellaria Mama.
  3. Sansa Stark invoked her and Jons grandfather Rickard Stark to point to how Daenerys Targaryens invitation to Dragonstone could be a trap.

Have you forgotten what happened to our grandfather? Sansa asked Jon. The Mad King invited him to Kings Landing and roasted him alive.

The execution of Rickard Stark and his eldest son Brandon at the orders of King Aerys II Targaryen happened before either Jon or Sansa were born, but it was an importantpointin Westerosi history.Apart from Rhaegar Targaryen kidnapping or running away with Lyanna Stark, its the single biggest event that led to Roberts Rebellion and the end of the Targaryen reign.

They didnt deserve to die like that

Rickard and Brandon Stark have been name-dropped a handful of times and alluded to throughout Game of Thrones, but A Song of Ice and Fire reveals more detail from someone who witnessed it.

Brandon Stark, who previously bested Petyr Baelish in a duel for Catelyn Tully after Brandon became betrothed to her, was on his way to Riverrun for his wedding when he heard about his sister Lyannas disappearance. Arriving in Kings Landing, Brandon furiously demanded that Rhaegar come out and die, but instead Aerys had him arrested and asked Rickard to come to Kings Landing and answer for his sons crimes.

According to Jaime Lannister in A Clash of Kings, Rickard demanded a trial by combat. Aerys unsportingly chose fire as his champion (instead of an actual person) and suspended Rickard with fire burning beneath him. To make matters worse, as Rickard burned alive, Brandonwho had a noose around his neckstrangled himself attempting to reach a sword that couldve saved his father. As they both died, Jaime and hundreds others witnessed it without doing a thing. (In their defense, Aerys was pretty unhinged at that point, and likely would have killed any detractors.)

Jaime relayed part of this story to Ned in season 1, calling both Brandon and Rickard brave and that they didnt deserve to die like that. Jaime also noted that when he eventually killed Aerys his mind went back to the day he saw Brandon and Rickard die. (Ser Barristan Selmy, who alluded to the event in season 5, may have also been present.)

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  • Five hundred men just stood there and watched, Jaime said. All the great knights of the Seven Kingdoms. You think anyone said a word, lifted a finger? No, Lord Stark. Five hundred men and this room was silent as a crypt. Except for the screams, of course, and the Mad King laughing.

    While those men didn’t do anything to save the Starks at the time, the whole event did play a significant role in convincing the lords of Westeros to overthrow Aerys. It never made it to television, butGame of Thrones filmed Rickard and Brandons deaths. A brief clip of it is seen in a pre-season 1 Game of Thrones trailer, which Game of Thrones producer and writer Bryan Cogman confirmed was meant to be in the shows second episode.

    GIF via GameofThrones/YouTube

    While Brandon has yet to appear at all in Game of Thrones, Rickard showed up briefly in season 6s The Door as he said goodbye to Ned before he left for the Vale.

    Screengrab via Game of Thrones/HBO

    Will the Mad Queen emerge?

    Theres little-to-no chance that Ellaria and Tyene Sand are getting out of Kings Landing alive after Euron brings them in, so the question of their fate is more along the lines of, how will they die? And how cruel and painful will it be?

    Ellaria is directly responsible for murderingCersei Lannisters only daughter, Myrcella. Tyene has committed murder and played a part in the coup of Dorne, but her main crime here is siding with Daenerys Targaryen; to be honest, Cersei probably doesn’tcare too much about Bronn being poisoned. Cersei could have one of them killed, both of them killed, or hold one hostage under the threat of death unless the other convincesDorne to align with Kings Landing. We suspectCersei will reveal some maniacalplan, given that the episode iscalled The Queens Justice.

    But how she goes about it could also lead to Cerseis downfall.

    If Cerseis punishment for the Sands is especially cruel, it could possibly remind Jamieof what he once witnessed in the throne room. Cersei has always had a violentstreak. Now that she’s hardenedby grief and her reign is under threat, the Sands could feel the full force of her wrath.

    One redditor believesthe sentence will involve making Ellaria watch Tyene die, while Manu Mishra suggests that Cerseis torture of both Ellaria and Tyene may be the breaking point. Its unclear if Jaime knows about Cersei setting the Mountain on Septa Unella last season, but his uneasy look after seeing her being crowned on the Iron Throne speaks volumes.

    Cersei’s prophecy

    After all these years, Cersei still remembers the prophecy Maggy the Frog told her: that she would marry the king, that she would have three children who would all die before her, and that a younger and more beautiful queen would cast her down. The show doesnt mention it, but in the books Maggy tells Cersei that she will die at the hands of the valonqar, or little brother. That explains part of why she hates Tyrion so much, but Jaime, whos the younger twin, also fits the bill.

    Cersei married the king, and all of her children are dead. Shes now in power trying to stop the other queen from striking her down. What she might not anticipate, though, is the man she loves again making thedifficult choice between serving a ruler he swore to protect or killing the ruler to ultimately save the Seven Kingdoms. If Rickard and Brandons deaths come back to Jaimes mind when Cersei deals her “justice” forEllaria and Tyene, Jaime might be prompted to think, What wont she do to stay in power?

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